Tuesday, May 20, 2008



Gosh it's been a long time since I visited my favorite pet subject - innumeracy. Here's what stirred me up - discussing the results from the Kentucky primary, AP writes:
Almost nine in 10 ballots were cast by whites, and the former first lady was winning their support overwhelmingly.
As I write this, with 43% 100% of the vote counted, Clinton is at 58% 65%. Now if white voters are 90% of the electorate (and assuming that 58% doesn't change), then it is mathematically impossible for the percentage of Clinton's white support to exceed 64% 72%. In other words, Clinton's "overwhelming" support is pretty much the same (65% or 72%), whether you talk about all voters or just white voters.

It may be true, and quite likely is, that her support from black voters is underwhelming; it could actually be zero. But with 90% of the vote coming from whites, drawing conclusions about her "white" support vs. her support in general simply doesn't hold up.

Why stop here? There's more...

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours? Weblog Commenting by HaloScan.com High Class Blogs: News and Media